Guy Farmer: Can Adam Laxalt defeat Sen. Cortez Masto in '22? – Nevada Appeal

Guy Farmer

Saturday, September 4, 2021

One of the most interesting races in next year’s midterm elections will be the spirited contest between Nevada’s senior senator, Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto, and former Attorney General Adam Laxalt, a very conservative Republican who supports several of ex-President Trump’s “Big Lie” claims.
According to Washington Examiner political columnist David Drucker, “Laxalt is unlikely to face meaningful opposition in the GOP primary and has a clear path to the (Senate) nomination.” Drucker quotes an unnamed Nevada political strategist as saying that Laxalt “will break every fundraising record and will run a very aggressive campaign.” But will that be enough to defeat our senior senator, a moderate Democrat? I doubt it.
“Nevadans and progressives in this state have to take Laxalt very seriously,” said Annette Magnus, a spokesperson for liberal Battle Born Progress. “We’re not a blue state, and anyone who says we’re a blue state is dead wrong.” Well maybe, but Nevada Democrats have done well in recent elections, winning the governorship – Gov. Steve Sisolak defeated Laxalt in 2018 – and every state office except secretary of state.
Strong showings by Democrats are due to what’s left of the so-called “Reid Machine” in Southern Nevada and the changing demographics of the Silver State. More than two-thirds of Nevada voters now reside in the Greater Las Vegas area and registered Democrats have a 97,000-vote advantage over registered Republicans.
Nevertheless, next year’s midterm elections may turn on decisions made by nearly 500,000 nonpartisan and independent voters, including your favorite Appeal columnist. We represent approximately 25 percent of the Nevada electorate and will decide the results of close elections next year.
And speaking of independent voters, Suffolk University pollster David Paleologos told the Washington

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